The point isn't the chances. The point is, every religion/belief is full of holes. [b]Especially Christianity.[/b] I like how you put this but it's irrelevant and that's not how evolution works at all. It's not just random, it's the opposite. The survival of the fittest. Whoever had to the best traits to survive bred offspring with their traits. Which mutated and/or became better. I'll give you an example. The modern whale we know today first lived on land. How do we know? I'll tell you. The whale used to live in a more desert-like area, it was an omnivore. Eventually, they ran out of food for reasons we don't know. Eventually, they began to eat things in the water. This meant that the better you are at swimming, the better chance you had of survival. This continues for hundreds of thousands of years until we got our whales. That's why they need air to survive and why they still have leg bones. The bones are useless but still there. They provide proof that whales once walked on land. Your watch-in-a-box is irrelevant because I assume you're comparing the watch to a species and that's just not how it works.