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originally posted in:Collective Of Knowledge
Edited by Analytical Ghost: 11/24/2015 3:16:15 PM
23

Nightfall Data Analysis

So I decided to do an In-Depth analysis on the Random Number Generated Loot in Nightfalls, which came out to be an excellent project for the Taken King, Due to the new weekly Nightfall reward-ish bounty. [spoiler]Warning, this was in HoW[/spoiler] I found the individual data from 100 nightfalls, which is roughly from around 32-35 people. I would like to give thanks to the people who gave me their nightfall rewards for this post, you know who you are. [b] The data is as shown:[/b] There are Five archetype of loot you can attain from a nightfall: Exotics Legendary Weapons Legendary Engrams Etheric Light Strange Coins You can not get legendary armor from a nightfall, this may change in TTK but likely not, Also I would like to say that exotic armor and weapons have no difference in drop chance, al though I did see a lot more weapons than armor. Taking each section of the loot I counted each of 100 drops and tallied them into each section accurately. [b]Each archetype scored as followed: [/b] Exotics: [b]38[/b] Legendaries: [b]31[/b] Strange Coins: [b]14[/b] Etheric Light: [b]12[/b] Legendary Engrams: [b]5 [/b] I then took the base number (100) and divided each number by it, Then I took this decimal and turned into a percentage. [b]This Percentage is the final drop rate chance of each archetype of loot:[/b] Exotics: [b]38%[/b] Legendary Weapons: [b]31%[/b] Strange Coins: [b]14%[/b] Etheric Light: [b]12%[/b] Legendary Engrams: [b]5%[/b] This final data shows that Exotics are the most common item from a nightfall, scoring over [i]1/3 loot drop chances[/i], meaning if you have three characters you will most likely get atleast [i]one exotic[/i]. On the other hand, legendary engrams are the rarest to get from a nightfall. With only a [i]5% Chance[/i] to get one. I hope you may be able to use this data somewhere in a video, other data post, or other things [i] Thank you[/i]

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  • I appreciate the effort here champ. But some of your hecklers have a point. Also your data assumes 100% honesty and accuracy on the results of your 32-35 and corresponding entrees. I think you went through and tried to do something positive for the community and I offer up respect for that. But my own singular experience tells me etheric light is the hardest to roll in nightfall which brings me to the point of RnG is RnG. You would have actually had to detail out each engram roll individually and not lump them all because I'm pretty sure they all have individual weight on roll chance just like individual exotics that drop, some have a higher drop rate then others. I rushed this on break so I apologize if clarity is of concern lol.

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