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Edited by Devasstator: 2/28/2016 7:56:25 PM
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There will never be one single game, period! It's death by a thousand cuts each time a new game comes out a small percentage leave for the new. Trending analysis shows that destinys players shink more with each release (TTK sales show rentention of 23 percent of players from vanilla). With long content droughts people will leave and some will come back, but eventually it will boil down to a small base mixture of casuals and hardcores (I assume 350K to 500K) who will stick with destiny 1 till 2 is released. Depending on how long it actually takes to put destiny 2 out will be a considerable influence on its performance and unless it's a critical and user success upon release, the numbers will not be as big as the first destiny. Also if another game comes out, but perfects the formula and has great mechanics (destiny's only true standout feature) it could spell game over.
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  • Strange question, would you mind checking trophies for the percentage that upgraded their noob ship? Or maxxed a legendary item? Thanks.

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  • The jumpship trophy is like 95%. The percentages I feel help shed light on the actual retention are (and this is by no means perfect, but its the most accurate we can figure): [u]Vanilla[/u] Fully upgraded legendary - 25.5% Fully upgraded exotic - 22.0% Vaunguard rank 3 - 26% Fully Upgraded subclass (mean across all) approx 18.3% Crucible rank 1 - 27% (clearly PVP is NOT why a lot of people bought the game) [u]TTK[/u] Subclass quest complete (mean average) - 15% Court of Oryx quest complete - 13% The Taken King Quest complete - 22% That potentially means that the number of active players since TTK dropped has actually been well under 1M!!!!! This would drop the overall retention rate to under 10% in 1.5 years.

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  • Daaaaaamn, the crycible percentage is terrible, considering that's what bungle thinks will carry their market share. Thanks for answering, away from my console for a couple of months. Not that I'm complaining, it's cheaper to rent a woman than a jetski in Thailand!

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