Proof of my points.
Halo Reach forum - Before release
[url=https://halo.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=40395381]1[/url]
[url=https://halo.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=40391906]2[/url]
[url=https://halo.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=40392693]3[/url]
[url=https://halo.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=40396301]4[/url]
The usual hopeful and naive posts, full of anticipation and the like.
Halo Reach forum - After release
[url=https://halo.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=50877392]1[/url]
[url=https://halo.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=50877222]2[/url]
[url=https://halo.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=50878712]3[/url]
[url=https://halo.bungie.net/Forums/posts.aspx?postID=50876822]4[/url]
Whine Whine Whine. These are just a few threads I pulled out of a random page search in the Reach forum.
These are generic examples like the incredibly generic threads that get spammed here day after day. 'What class will you be?' 'Density is going to be Awesome/Epic/Best thing since sliced bread' etc etc.
I can't wait to see this forum degenerate into whining and chaos as soon as people get their hands on the game.
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While your evidence seems good your after release sampling is missing a key population... Those who are happy with and busy playing the game. Before release this population has time and the desire to post in the forums, after release they are filling their time with gameplay. They are talking to friends in game and feel no need to post. That leaves the dissatisfied to come back to the forum and post their rants without the threads being counterbalanced by the satisfied.