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Edited by Caraweezey:
8/9/2014 12:04:35 AM
108
Math for Guardians update 3
The current population on Earth right now is estimated to 7 billion people. Ratio of civilian to military in (us) for example is about 5 military per 1000 civilians. If the Fallen, Hive, Vex, and Canbal all have a Earth size population, share a similar warrior to civilian ratio as the US. Then that would mean each enemy race would have 7million fighters for a total combined force of 28 million. Let's say they deployed 70% of their total force to destroy humanity in a surprise attack and left 30% to defend their home base the total attacking enemy force would be around 19.6million. There were a total of 4.6 million guardians in the BETA (not counting 6.5mil guardians because one player cannot control multiple guardians at one time) All guardians won't be present to defend the tower/last safe city. If the guardians were divided equally among 24 time zones and we take into account 8hr sleep and 8hr other activities for a total of 16hr time zones worth of guardians out of pocket. That would mean only 1.5 million guardians can possibly be present to defend this surprise attack. Each guardians quota will be 13 enemy combatants. Easy but there are spider tanks and bosses as well. On a rough estimate let's say for every 300 enemy troops we have 1boss and 1 tank type that would mean we have to deal with 130,666 combined force of tanks and bosses. Your chances of encountering a boss 8%. This is a cake walk but numbers lie.....Now if they have no such thing as a civilian population and decided to use their entire population to attack all 28 billion of them. We still only have the 1.5 million guardians...that would mean each guardians would have to deal with 18,666 enemy warriors divided into waves within enemy ranks would include 124 bosses and tanks that EACH individual guardians have to fight off to protect humanity...in the course of maybe around 3 hours....then we are screwed.
Edit:1) number of guardians have been adjusted for accuracy
Edit:2) there are some very good responses to this forum that encourages critical thinking in many aspects of Destiny. If you have created a new forum discussing these types of topics please let me know.
Edit:3)To clarify this is waves after waves pounding the tower that EACH guardian (1) has to handle in one session: probably some where around 2 hours or 3
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2 RepliesEdited by Spartan: 8/9/2014 12:45:50 AMYou also have to take into account our own heavy weapons/vehicles that would be present. I know the tower alone is loaded with some heavy AA guns that could greatly reduce the enemy forces far quicker than any single guardian could. It's also currently unknown what vehicles we have access to other than sparrows, but I imagine we would have to have something that could be useful. As for Devil Walkers you have to keep in mind their low mobility and limitations due to terrain. The assault would most likely begin outside the city (the Traveler must provide some protection that prevents immediate infiltration/heavy artillery/ICBMs), so Devil Walkers may only be useful in the initial barrage. Also, we would receive reinforcements at some point relatively soon after the fighting began, because even if there were only 1.5 million guardians on shift, the rest would be rallied as soon as an immediate threat was detected. However, the 1.5 million may be a bit high for the initial assault if you base it on the stat that guardians only spend about 20% of their time at the tower. That would probably lead to only 600k-750k guardians in the tower ready to fight at any one time, with 1.5M who would be sleeping and would be ready shortly.
