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11/28/2014 10:20:42 AM
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Finally someone who actually knows how probability works! You sir earned yourself a like.
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whats the probability of two red colors in a row in roulette? 50%? three red color in the row still 50%? nope. its 0.5*0.5*05 = 0,125 > 12,5%
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Haha gamblers fallacy again buddy. It's still 50% each spin is a completely new spin the percentages never change. Seriously. Read up on it.
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No, Megadeath is correct and you are correct too. Each spin is an independent event so getting red is 50% every time (assuming you ignore the 0 and 00). The [b]chances [/b]of getting red [b]three times in a row[/b] is 12.5%. The chances of getting red [b]10 times in a row[/b] is 0.09% , but the chance of getting red on that 10th time will still be 50%
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ofc every spin has 50% chance to be red or black but overall probability of 3 red in the row is 0,5^3. Nobody argue that each spin is 50% chance but we are trying calculate the chance of happening 3 red in the row which has different probability. Try to calculate whats the chance of 50 red numbers in the row. Its not 50% for sure ;)
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Don't forget guys red and black on a roulette table are not 50/50, don't forget the green zero. Sorry nitpicking I know but not a great analogy.
