This^^
But this discussion is about Xûr. It's entirely possible that his loot table is weighted such as this, but without knowing, one assumes it's weighted equally.
The OP's math is sound for an equally weighted loot table. Only Bungie can confirm this though, and I wouldn't count on it.
Reading this thread has definitely lowered my faith in the future of humanity. Oh well, luckily the probability of my death is 100%.
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